I enclose the reports we have received from the reconnaissance squadron we had previously tasked with keeping an eye on our Russian Neighbours. There is a significant build up around Murmansk, which as we've spoken of before is understandable in a time of war. However, rather than being the usual compliment of ice breakers and merchantmen, there seems to be a build up of heavy ships, suggesting a break out to the Atlantic.
As a side note, they also seem to have concentrated their entire amphibious compliment at Murmansk as well. While this isn't a significant threat I would recommend we advise our allies.
On a related subject, I strongly suggest that we speak with our neighbours as well. Suomi often has to deal with the unwanted attentions of our mutual neighbours and I doubt that they will respect Svierge neutrality either this time. Although neither will want to be dragged into the southern war, when self interest is at stake I think they may be a little more receptive.
I am, as ever, your faithful Servant,
Minister of Defence.